Tag: Probability

How to predict the future

Financial managers got it wrong. As a group they confidently expected a “yes” vote in Greece. Hardly a triumph of peering round the corners of the future. They joined the shamed pollsters of the UK’s recent general election, in which all the main poll services failed miserably to predict the result, […]

Why reputational risk keeps grabbing the limelight

“The most valuable asset in the capitalist economy is not cash, stock or buildings, but trust.” Economist Intelligence Unit, Risk of Risks What would a serious blow to your company’s reputation cost? This was once a rather academic query–most organisations could afford to consign it to the back burner. Today […]